Premier League Football Pointers – Wednesday 21st April
Spurs vs Southampton
Spurs stats and averages
Goals scored – 1.68 goals per game
Goals conceded – 1.15 goal per game
Corners for them – 4.06 per game
Corners for their opponents – 5.18 per game
Yellow cards for them – 1.37 per game
Yellow cards for their opponents – 2.28 per game
Red cards for them – 0.06 per game
Red cards for their opponents – 0.03 per game
Spurs have played 32 games this season
They have scored in – 26 games (81.25%)
They have conceded in – 22 games (68.75%)
Games with over 1.5 goals – 25 games (78.12%)
Games with over 2. 5 goals – 16 games (50%)
Games where both teams scored – 17 games (53.12%)
Games with 3+ corners for them – 23 games (71.87%)
Games with 3+ corners for their opponents – 29 games (90.62%)
Games with 9+ match corners – 20 games (62.50%)
Games with 10+ booking points for them – 27 games (84.37%)
Games with 10+ booking points for opponents – 29 games (90.62%)
Games with 30+ match booking points – 25 games (78.12%)
Southampton stats and averages
Goals scored – 1.25 goals per game
Goals conceded – 1.80 goals per game
Corners for them – 4.64 per game
Corners for their opponents – 4.96 per game
Yellow cards for them – 1.41 per game
Yellow cards for their opponents – 1.45 per game
Red cards for them – 0.06 per game
Red cards for their opponents – 0.09 per game
Southampton have played 31 games this season
They have scored in – 21 games (67.74%)
They have conceded in – 22 games (70.96%)
Games with over 1.5 goals – 23 games (74.19%)
Games with over 2. 5 goals – 15 games (48.38%)
Games where both teams scored – 14 games (45.16%)
Games with 3+ corners for them – 27 games (87.09%)
Games with 3+ corners for their opponents – 24 games (77.41%)
Games with 9+ match corners – 21 games (67.74%)
Games with 10+ booking points for them – 24 games (77.41%)
Games with 10+ booking points for opponents – 25 games (80.64%)
Games with 30+ match booking points – 18 games (58.06%)
Spurs vs Southampton match preview
Spurs play their first game since Jose Mourinho left the club and Southampton play their first game since they went out of the FA-Cup at the semi-final stage to Leicester. Its an interesting game as Spurs will have to have one eye on the League Cup final this weekend and have Ryan Mason in charge for his first game. Southampton will surely be disappointed with their cup semi final showing. Obviously its never nice to get knocked out of the Fa-Cup, especially at the semi-final stage but they will be most disappointed with how they went out. At no point did they really take the game to Leicester and attack the opportunity that was infront of them. Chances to reach an FA-Cup Final don’t come around often for these players, especially at a club like Southampton and to go out without even registering a shot on target will surely have been a massive blow.
Spurs have scored in all of their last 9 league games and they scored an average of 2 goals per game in those games. Spurs have also conceded in 5 of their last 6 league games and they conceded an average of 1.66 goals per game in those games. Southampton have scored in 4 of their last 5 league games and scored an average of 1.60 goals per game in those games. Southampton have conceded in 13 of their last 14 league games and they conceded an average of 2.64 goals per game in those 14 games.
Goals do look a good bet but both teams to score is risky due to Southampton having failed to score in 9 of their last 18 league games. Southampton have scored in 67.74% of their games this season though and surely the players will be desperate to give a response after the FA-Cup exit, and with a Spurs side who have their own trip to Wembley on the agenda, have just sacked their manager and are in the middle of the whole European Super League scenario, it may be a good time to play Spurs and we feel there is a good chance that Southampton at least score 1 goal. Spurs will surely be without Harry Kane tonight as he is doubtful for the League Cup final, though this will give Spurs other attacking options the chance to make an impact and maybe force their way into the Cup final team.
So over 1.5 goals and both teams to score both look good bets.
Southampton have taken 3 or more corners in all of their last 14 league games and they average 5.35 corners per game in those games. Spurs have been on the low end of corners this season and only average 3.64 corners per game in their last 14 league games. I expect Spurs will have more corners tonight as with the Harry Kane news the other attacking players for Spurs will have to see tonight as a huge opportunity to make an impact, force their way into the team for the final and impress the new caretaker manager. I feel this means Spurs will get forward and look to get shots at goal which will lead to them at least taking 3 corners. So 3+ corners each is the bet we would take from corners.
Southampton have been given no cards in 3 of their last 4 league games and 2 of their last 3 league games ended with no cards at all. For Southampton this game is a slight dead rubber as they are surely safe this season and they don’t pick up many bookings anyway. Spurs are more consistent and their games usually produce at least a couple of cards, but with the Southampton stats it’s not an angle we can back with confidence.
The best bets in this game are
Over 1.5 goals
Both teams to score
3+ corners each team
Aston Villa vs Man City
Aston Villa stats and averages
Goals scored – 1.43 goals per game
Goals conceded – 1.10 goals per game
Corners for them – 5.60 per game
Corners for their opponents – 4.96 per game
Yellow cards for them – 1.73 per game
Yellow cards for their opponents – 1.86 per game
Red cards for them – 0.06 per game
Red cards for their opponents – 0.16 per game
Aston Villa have played 30 games this season
They have scored in – 23 games (76.66%)
They have conceded in – 17 games (56.66%)
Games with over 1.5 goals – 20 games (66.66%)
Games with over 2. 5 goals – 15 games (50%)
Games where both teams scored – 12 games (40%)
Games with 3+ corners for them – 24 games (80%)
Games with 3+ corners for their opponents – 23 games (76.66%)
Games with 9+ match corners – 20 games (66.66%)
Games with 10+ booking points for them – 24 games (80%)
Games with 10+ booking points for opponents – 27 games (90%)
Games with 30+ match booking points – 22 games (73.33%)
Man City stats and averages
Goals scored – 2.09 goals per game
Goals conceded – 0.71 goals per game
Corners for them – 6.53 per game
Corners for their opponents – 2.87 per game
Yellow cards for them – 1.12 per game
Yellow cards for their opponents – 1.56 per game
Red cards for them – 0 per game
Red cards for their opponents – 0.03 per game
Man City have played 32 games this season
They have scored in – 29 games (90.62%)
They have conceded in – 15 games (46.87%)
Games with over 1.5 goals – 25 games (78.12%)
Games with over 2. 5 goals – 14 games (43.75%)
Games where both teams scored – 13 games (40.62%)
Games with 3+ corners for them – 28 games (87.50%)
Games with 3+ corners for their opponents – 16 games (50%)
Games with 9+ match corners – 19 games (59.37%)
Games with 10+ booking points for them – 20 games (62.50%)
Games with 10+ booking points for opponents – 25 games (78.19%)
Games with 30+ match booking points – 19 games (59.37%)
Aston Villa vs Man City match preview
Man City lost to Leeds last time out in surprising fashion, but have still won 18 of their last 20 league games and it would take a pretty shocking end to the season for them not to not lift the Premier League trophy this year. Villa have games in hand on allot of the teams around them and if they win those 2 games in hand they can go level on points with Spurs in 7th and 3 points off Liverpool in 6th, so even though they are in 11th place right now, they will have not given up hope just yet of putting the cat amongst the pigeons in terms of European football. This might be a good time to play City as well with them coming off a loss to Leeds in the league, being knocked out the FA-Cup by Chelsea and having the small matter of a Champions League semi-final against PSG on the horizon.
Villa have scored in 10 of their last 14 league games but they only scored an average of 1 goal per game in those 14 games. Villa have conceded in all of their last 4 league games. City have scored an average of 2.45 goals per game in their last 20 league games and City have conceded in 5 of their last 7 league games. Goals is a tricky market as Man City being involved means that over 1.5 goals and over 2.5 goals both have a great chance as they can cover that bet on their own in a half. Villa have been missing Jack Grealish and without him they sometimes look to run out of ideas of how to get at other teams. Given that Villa are set to play long periods without possession and territory and find their attacking opportunities limited, we won’t back both teams to score.
There were 18 corners the last time these sides met with 16 of those for a Man City. City average 6.53 corners per game this season and Villa average 5.60 per game this season, but villa have seen their average drop in recent games. If playing corners we feel total match corners is the best angle as Villa only took 2 corners when the sides last met and it may be a similar story here. Its highly likely this game goes into double figures and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see it push towards 15 or so corners as it did the last time these sides met.
City average just 0.82 yellow cards per game in their last 17 league games and whilst Villa have been more consistent, cards is not an angle we are going to play here. Villa are likely to sit deep with City probing and trying to find a gap in their defence. These situations don’t favour card bets as all the action takes place in front of the Villa team. Cards tend to come from teams getting in behind and attacks being broken up as defences scramble. Villa will look to avoid that situation and they are a well drilled defensive unit. So it wouldn’t be a surprise if there are only 1 or 2 cards in this one.
The best bets in this game are
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
10+ match corners
