Premier League Football Pointers – Saturday 1st May
Crystal Palace vs Man City
Crystal Palace stats and averages
Goals scored – 1.06 goals per game
Goals conceded – 1.68 goals per game
Corners for them – 3.62 per game
Corners for their opponents – 5.59 per game
Yellow cards for them – 1.28 per game
Yellow cards for their opponents – 1.06 per game
Red cards for them – 0.06 per game
Red cards for their opponents – 0.12 per game
Crystal Palace have played 32 games this season
They have scored in – 20 games (62.50%)
They have conceded in – 25 games (78.12%)
Games with over 1.5 goals – 25 games (78.12%)
Games with over 2. 5 goals – 16 games (50%)
Games where both teams scored – 16 games (50%)
Games with 3+ corners for them – 23 games (71.87%)
Games with 3+ corners for their opponents – 30 games (93.75%)
Games with 9+ match corners – 19 games (59.37%)
Games with 10+ booking points for them – 23 games (71.87%)
Games with 10+ booking points for opponents – 22 games (68.75%)
Games with 30+ match booking points – 15 games (46.87%)
Man City stats and averages
Goals scored – 2.09 goals per game
Goals conceded – 0.72 goals per game
Corners for them – 6.66 per game
Corners for their opponents – 2.81 per game
Yellow cards for them – 1.12 per game
Yellow cards for their opponents – 1.51 per game
Red cards for them – 0.03 per game
Red cards for their opponents – 0.06 per game
Man City have played 33 games this season
They have scored in – 30 games (90.90%)
They have conceded in – 16 games (48.48%)
Games with over 1.5 goals – 26 games (78.78%)
Games with over 2. 5 goals – 15 games (45.45%)
Games where both teams scored – 14 games (42.42%)
Games with 3+ corners for them – 29 games (87.87%)
Games with 3+ corners for their opponents – 16 games (48.48%)
Games with 9+ match corners – 20 games (60.60%)
Games with 10+ booking points for them – 21 games (63.63%)
Games with 10+ booking points for opponents – 26 games (78.78%)
Games with 30+ match booking points – 20 games (60.60%)
Crystal Palace vs Man City match preview
Palace have scored exactly 1 goal I each of their last 5 league games and have conceded in 8 of their last 11 league games, conceding an average of 1.63 goals per game in those 11 games. City have scored an average of 2.60 goals per game in their last 5 league games.
City are impossible to oppose here as they charge towards another Premier League trophy. The best bets look to revolve around City goals and corners.
It’s highly likely Man City score at least 2 goals and will take 5/6 corners.
Palace only average 1.14 yellow cards per game in their last 14 league games and City have so much possession against teams that its very common for them to go through games and get no cards. So bookings is an angle to leave
The best bets in this game are
City to win
City to score 2+ goals
5/6+ City corners
Brighton vs Leeds
Brighton stats and averages
Goals scored – 1 goals per game
Goals conceded – 1.18 goals per game
Corners for them – 6.09 per game
Corners for their opponents – 3.90 per game
Yellow cards for them – 1.15 per game
Yellow cards for their opponents – 1.36 per game
Red cards for them – 0.12 per game
Red cards for their opponents – 0.03 per game
Brighton have played 33 games this season
They have scored in – 22 games (72.72%)
They have conceded in – 22 games (72.72%)
Games with over 1.5 goals – 20 games (60.60%)
Games with over 2. 5 goals – 15 games (45.45%)
Games where both teams scored – 17 games (51.51%)
Games with 3+ corners for them – 31 games (93.93%)
Games with 3+ corners for their opponents – 21 games (63.63%)
Games with 9+ match corners – 21 games (63.63%)
Games with 10+ booking points for them – 24 games (72.72%)
Games with 10+ booking points for opponents – 23 games (69.69%)
Games with 30+ match booking points – 17 games (51.51%)
Leeds stats and averages
Goals scored – 1.51 goals per game
Goals conceded – 1.51 goals per game
Corners for them – 5.75 per game
Corners for their opponents – 5.81 per game
Yellow cards for them – 1.63 per game
Yellow cards for their opponents – 1.24 per game
Red cards for them – 0.03 per game
Red cards for their opponents – 0.06 per game
Leeds have played 33 games this season
They have scored in – 24 games (72.72%)
They have conceded in – 23 games (69.69%)
Games with over 1.5 goals – 23 games (69.69%)
Games with over 2. 5 goals – 19 games (57.57%)
Games where both teams scored – 17 games (51.51%)
Games with 3+ corners for them – 30 games (90.90%)
Games with 3+ corners for their opponents – 31 games (93.93%)
Games with 9+ match corners – 24 games (72.72%)
Games with 10+ booking points for them – 29 games (87.87%)
Games with 10+ booking points for opponents – 26 games (78.78%)
Games with 30+ match booking points – 21 games (63.63%)
Brighton vs Leeds match preview
Brighton still have a decent buffer between them and the drop zone but the fact they have only won 1 of their last 8 league games will be a worry. Leeds have been in tremendous form, the fact they have gone 6 games unbeaten is good but when you consider that in those 6 games they have played Chelsea, Man City, Liverpool and Man United is extremely impressive.
Brighton have failed to score in their last 3 league games and have seen 2 of those 3 games end nil nil. Leeds have failed to core in 4 of their last 8 league games. Whilst goals wouldn’t be a surprise, especially with Leeds style of play, the stats suggest that’s a risky bet to take on here.
Corners look a very solid bet. Brighton average 6.09 corners per game this season and Leeds average 5.75. Brighton have taken 3 or more corners in 93.93% of their league games this season and Leeds in 90.90%. So it’s highly likely both teams take at least 3 corners and there is good reason to take that higher to 4/5+ corners each team.
Brighton have been given no cards in 6 of their last 8 league games and whilst Leeds are more consistent, we wouldn’t trust them to cover a bet on their own, so we won’t back cards.
The best bets in this game all revolve around corners
3+ corners each team
4/5+ corners each team
10+ match corners
Chelsea vs Fulham
Chelsea stats and averages
Goals scored – 1.54 goals per game
Goals conceded – 0.93 goal per game
Corners for them – 6.03 per game
Corners for their opponents – 4.18 per game
Yellow cards for them – 1.27 per game
Yellow cards for their opponents – 1.27 per game
Red cards for them – 0.06 per game
Red cards for their opponents – 0.09 per game
Chelsea have played 33 games this season
They have scored in – 24 games (72.72%)
They have conceded in – 16 games (48.48%)
Games with over 1.5 goals – 22 games (72.72%)
Games with over 2. 5 goals – 14 games (42.42%)
Games where both teams scored – 13 games (39.39%)
Games with 3+ corners for them – 29 games (87.87%)
Games with 3+ corners for their opponents – 26 games (78.78%)
Games with 9+ match corners – 22 games (72.72%)
Games with 10+ booking points for them – 20 games (60.60%)
Games with 10+ booking points for opponents – 28 games (84.84%)
Games with 30+ match booking points – 17 games (51.51%)
Fulham stats and averages
Goals scored – 0.75 goals per game
Goals conceded – 1.30 goals per game
Corners for them – 4.15 per game
Corners for their opponents – 5.18 per game
Yellow cards for them – 1.78 per game
Yellow cards for their opponents – 1.12 per game
Red cards for them – 0.09 per game
Red cards for their opponents – 0.03 per game
Fulham have played 33 games this season
They have scored in – 18 games (54.54%)
They have conceded in – 24 games (72.72%)
Games with over 1.5 goals – 21 games (63.63%)
Games with over 2. 5 goals – 11 games (33.33%)
Games where both teams scored – 14 games (42.42%)
Games with 3+ corners for them – 25 games (75.75%)
Games with 3+ corners for their opponents – 25 games (75.75%)
Games with 9+ match corners – 18 games (54.54%)
Games with 10+ booking points for them – 29 games (87.87%)
Games with 10+ booking points for opponents – 24 games (72.72%)
Games with 30+ match booking points – 20 games (60.60%)
Chelsea vs Fulham match preview
Chelsea have seen a slight dip in league form and have only won 4 of their last 9 league games. Fulham have been proving to be stubborn opposition but they are still getting beat most weeks, though they would have ruined plenty of people’s bets in recent games where they drew against Arsenal and beat Liverpool, so may not be a side you want to be laying at short odds.
Chelsea have failed to score in 3 of their last 8 league games and scored an average of 1.25 goals per game in those 8 games. Goals and the result are not markets we would look to back at short odds here as Chelsea have bigger fish to fry and Fulham can be very frustrating opposition.
Corners also looks risky on event form as Chelsea took no corners in their last league game, and just 2 corners in the league game before that. Given Chelsea will control possession and territory for long periods, Fulham will find their opportunities to win corners limited. So corners is not an angle we would be backing with Chelsea struggling for corners in recent games.
Chelsea have been given no cards in 4 of their last 7 league games and Fulham have been given no cards in 2 of their last 5 league games and Fulham only average 1.42 yellow cards per game in their last 14 league games, so we couldn’t trust Fulham to cover a bet on their own should Chelsea get no cards.
There is no standout bet in this game, though we do accept that Chelsea could win this game quite easily, scoring 2/3 goals and taking 5/6 corners, just the stats suggest it’s not as simple as that right now and at the slim odds we won’t be taking the chance.
Everton vs Aston Villa
Everton stats and averages
Goals scored – 1.37 goals per game
Goals conceded – 1.25 goals per game
Corners for them – 4.21 per game
Corners for their opponents – 5.75 per game
Yellow cards for them – 1.68 per game
Yellow cards for their opponents – 1.65 per game
Red cards for them – 0.06 per game
Red cards for their opponents – 0.03 per game
Everton have played 32 games this season
They have scored in – 25 games (78.12%)
They have conceded in – 23 games (71.87%)
Games with over 1.5 goals – 23 games (71.87%)
Games with over 2. 5 goals – 14 games (43.75%)
Games where both teams scored – 17 games (53.12%)
Games with 3+ corners for them – 27 games (84.37%)
Games with 3+ corners for their opponents – 28 games (87.50%)
Games with 9+ match corners – 22 games (68.75%)
Games with 10+ booking points for them – 26 games (81.25%)
Games with 10+ booking points for opponents – 29 games (90.62%)
Games with 30+ match booking points – 22 games (68.75%)
Aston Villa stats and averages
Goals scored – 1.43 goals per game
Goals conceded – 1.15 goals per game
Corners for them – 5.62 per game
Corners for their opponents – 5.12 per game
Yellow cards for them – 1.62 per game
Yellow cards for their opponents – 1.84 per game
Red cards for them – 0.09 per game
Red cards for their opponents – 0.18 per game
Aston Villa have played 32 games this season
They have scored in – 25 games (78.12%)
They have conceded in – 19 games (59.37%)
Games with over 1.5 goals – 22 games (68.75%)
Games with over 2. 5 goals – 17 games (53.12%)
Games where both teams scored – 14 games (43.75%)
Games with 3+ corners for them – 25 games (78.12%)
Games with 3+ corners for their opponents – 25 games (78.12%)
Games with 9+ match corners – 22 games (68.75%)
Games with 10+ booking points for them – 25 games (78.12%)
Games with 10+ booking points for opponents – 29 games (90.62%)
Games with 30+ match booking points – 23 games (71.87%)
Everton vs Aston Villa match preview
Villa have only won 1 of their last 8 league games, though they scored in all of their Al 4 league games, scoring an average of 1.75 goals per game in those 4 games. Villa have conceded in all of their last 6 league games and they conceded an average of 1.66 goals per game in those 6 league games. Everton have scored in 8 of their last 10 league games and have conceded in 12 of their last 17 league games.
It looks an even match on paper and the stats suggest both teams to score has a good chance. Neither side are prolific goal scorers who rack up big numbers but both are pretty consistent and have scored in 78.12% of their league games this season. So over 1.5 goals and both teams to score both look good bets.
Everton only average 3.15 corners per game in their last 13 league games and Villa have seen a drop in their consistency with corners and have taken 2 corners or less in 3 of their last 6 league games. So on current form it’s probably worth being careful with corner bets.
Villa average 1.76 yellow cards per game in their last 13 league games and 5 of the last 6 Villa league games ended with 30+match booking points. Everton average 2 yellow cards per game in their last 4 league games and 11 of the last 14 Everton league games had 30+ match booking points. So it’s highly likely both teams pick up at least 1 card and the game has 30+ match booking points.
The best bets in this game are
Over 1.5 goals
Both teams to score
10+ booking points each team
30+ match booking points
